Match Analysis

Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

24%
17%
59%
Aston Villa winDrawNottingham Forest win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game0.40
0.98Avg goals scored1.22
3.03Avg goals conceded1.53
3–0–2Record (W–D–L)0–2–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

2.6

Nottingham Forest xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

73%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

12

9%

02

8%

13

8%

03

7%

11

7%

01

6%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

LLWWW

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.0 / 3.0

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Away

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.5

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Aston Villaall timeNottingham Forest
3W
1D
2W
12 Apr 26
Nottingham Forest11Aston Villa
3 Jan 26
Aston Villa31Nottingham Forest
5 Apr 25
Aston Villa21Nottingham Forest
14 Dec 24
Nottingham Forest21Aston Villa
24 Feb 24
Aston Villa42Nottingham Forest
5 Nov 23
Nottingham Forest20Aston Villa

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Nottingham Forest?

Nottingham Forest is favored with a 59% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Aston Villa won 3, drew 1, and Nottingham Forest won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Aston Villa Win24%
Draw17%
Nottingham Forest Win59%
BTTS65%
Over 2.573%

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