Match Analysis

Aston VillavsSunderland

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

54%
24%
22%
Aston Villa winDrawSunderland win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game1.00
1.34Avg goals scored0.58
1.32Avg goals conceded1.68
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)1–2–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.7

Aston Villa xG

Expected goals

1

Sunderland xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

11%

1–1

11%

2–0

10%

2–1

10%

0–0

7%

0–1

7%

Home

Aston Villa

Aston Villa

DWWWD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Sunderland

Sunderland

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?

Aston Villa is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Aston Villa's current form?

Aston Villa have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Aston Villa Win54%
Draw24%
Sunderland Win22%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%