Aston Villavs
Sunderland
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Aston Villa xG
Expected goals
1
Sunderland xG
52%
Both Teams to Score
51%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
11%
1–1
11%
2–0
10%
2–1
10%
0–0
7%
0–1
7%
Home
Aston Villa
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.3
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Away
Sunderland
PPG
1.00
Avg goals
0.6 / 1.7
Last 5
1W 2D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Aston Villa vs Sunderland?
Aston Villa is favored with a 54% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Aston Villa's current form?
Aston Villa have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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