Match Analysis

BrentfordvsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
26%
40%
Brentford winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.20
1.63Avg goals scored1.58
1.26Avg goals conceded0.59
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Brentford xG

Expected goals

1.4

Arsenal xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.6 / 1.3

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Brentford Win34%
Draw26%
Arsenal Win40%
BTTS55%
Over 2.551%