Match Analysis

Brentford vs Chelsea

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

66%
20%
14%
Brentford winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.80
2.33Avg goals scored2.27
0.65Avg goals conceded1.88
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–0–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.5

Brentford xG

Expected goals

1

Chelsea xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

83%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

30

8%

31

8%

20

7%

21

7%

40

7%

41

7%

Home

Brentford

Brentford

WWDDL

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.3 / 0.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

WWLWL

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

2.3 / 1.9

Last 5

3W 0D 2L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Brentfordall timeChelsea
1W
3D
2W
17 Jan 26
Chelsea20Brentford
13 Sep 25
Brentford22Chelsea
6 Apr 25
Brentford00Chelsea
15 Dec 24
Chelsea21Brentford
2 Mar 24
Brentford22Chelsea
28 Oct 23
Chelsea02Brentford

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Brentford vs Chelsea?

Brentford is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Brentford's current form?

Brentford have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Brentford won 1, drew 3, and Chelsea won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Brentford Win66%
Draw20%
Chelsea Win14%
BTTS61%
Over 2.583%

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