Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Brentford xG
Expected goals
1
Chelsea xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
2–0
7%
2–1
7%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Brentford
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.3 / 0.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Chelsea
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brentford vs Chelsea?
Brentford is favored with a 66% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brentford's current form?
Brentford have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Brentford won 1, drew 3, and Chelsea won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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