Brighton Hove Albion vs Leeds United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.2
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
Expected goals
0.5
Leeds United xG
27%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
22%
0–0
18%
2–0
13%
1–1
11%
0–1
9%
2–1
7%
Home
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Brighton Hove Albion vs Leeds United?
Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Brighton Hove Albion's current form?
Brighton Hove Albion have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (22% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 27%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Premier League