Chelseavs
AFC Bournemouth
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
1.7
AFC Bournemouth xG
71%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
2–1
8%
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
3–1
6%
1–0
5%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
AFC Bournemouth
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?
Chelsea is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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