Match Analysis

ChelseavsAFC Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

46%
22%
32%
Chelsea winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game2.00
1.99Avg goals scored1.67
1.68Avg goals conceded1.51
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Chelsea xG

Expected goals

1.7

AFC Bournemouth xG

71%

Both Teams to Score

71%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

3–1

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Chelsea

Chelsea

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.5

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Chelsea vs AFC Bournemouth?

Chelsea is favored with a 46% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Chelsea's current form?

Chelsea have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 71%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Chelsea Win46%
Draw22%
AFC Bournemouth Win32%
BTTS71%
Over 2.571%