Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
3.5
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
73%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
1–2
6%
0–2
5%
0–3
5%
0–4
5%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $33K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Brighton Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 77% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 73%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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