Chelseavs
Crystal Palace
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.5
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
1.3
Crystal Palace xG
67%
Both Teams to Score
73%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
3–1
8%
1–1
7%
2–0
7%
1–0
6%
2–2
6%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Crystal Palace
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.0 / 2.4
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Crystal Palace?
Chelsea is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 67%. Over 2.5 goals: 73%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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