Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.6
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
2.6
Hull City xG
86%
Both Teams to Score
89%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–2
6%
1–2
5%
2–1
5%
2–3
5%
3–2
5%
3–3
5%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Hull City
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.0 / 0.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Hull City?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.6.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–2 (6% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 86%. Over 2.5 goals: 89%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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