Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.7
Chelsea xG
Expected goals
0.4
Tottenham Hotspur xG
32%
Both Teams to Score
78%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
14%
4–0
13%
2–0
11%
5–0
10%
1–0
6%
3–1
6%
Home
Chelsea
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
2.3 / 1.9
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Away
Tottenham Hotspur
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
0.3 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 0D 3L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Chelsea vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Chelsea is favored with a 93% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Chelsea's current form?
Chelsea have recorded 3W 0D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Chelsea won 6, drew 0, and Tottenham Hotspur won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (14% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 32%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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