Match Analysis

Coventry CityvsNewcastle United

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

37%
24%
39%
Coventry City winDrawNewcastle United win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game0.80
0.96Avg goals scored1.37
1.80Avg goals conceded1.68
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Coventry City xG

Expected goals

1.6

Newcastle United xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Coventry City

Coventry City

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.8

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

DLLWL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Coventry City vs Newcastle United?

Newcastle United is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Coventry City's current form?

Coventry City have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Coventry City Win37%
Draw24%
Newcastle United Win39%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%