Match Analysis

Crystal PalacevsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
22%
58%
Crystal Palace winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
1.03Avg goals scored1.58
2.41Avg goals conceded0.59
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.1

Crystal Palace xG

Expected goals

2

Arsenal xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

9%

1–3

7%

0–3

6%

Home

Crystal Palace

Crystal Palace

DDLLW

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.0 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

DWDWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Crystal Palace's current form?

Crystal Palace have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Crystal Palace Win20%
Draw22%
Arsenal Win58%
BTTS58%
Over 2.560%