Crystal Palace vs Manchester City
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.4
Crystal Palace xG
Expected goals
3.1
Manchester City xG
31%
Both Teams to Score
68%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
15%
0–3
15%
0–4
12%
0–1
9%
0–5
7%
1–2
6%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $866K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Crystal Palace
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.2
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Manchester City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Crystal Palace vs Manchester City?
Manchester City is favored with a 82% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Crystal Palace's current form?
Crystal Palace have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.4.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Crystal Palace won 0, drew 2, and Manchester City won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 31%. Over 2.5 goals: 68%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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