Match Analysis

EvertonvsChelsea

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
24%
42%
Everton winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.40
0.84Avg goals scored2.00
1.35Avg goals conceded1.67
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Everton xG

Expected goals

1.6

Chelsea xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–0

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Everton

Everton

DLDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

0.8 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

DLWWL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Everton vs Chelsea?

Chelsea is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Everton's current form?

Everton have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Everton Win34%
Draw24%
Chelsea Win42%
BTTS60%
Over 2.558%