Everton vs Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.8
Everton xG
Expected goals
0.7
Manchester United xG
42%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
15%
2–0
13%
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
3–0
8%
Home
Everton
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.4 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Everton vs Manchester United?
Everton is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Everton's current form?
Everton have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Everton won 1, drew 1, and Manchester United won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (15% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 42%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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