Hull City vs Aston Villa
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.5
Hull City xG
Expected goals
1
Aston Villa xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
83%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–0
8%
3–1
8%
2–0
7%
2–1
7%
4–0
7%
4–1
7%
Home
Hull City
PPG
3.00
Avg goals
1.5 / 0.0
Last 5
5W 0D 0L
Away
Aston Villa
PPG
1.80
Avg goals
1.0 / 3.0
Last 5
3W 0D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Hull City vs Aston Villa?
Hull City is favored with a 84% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Hull City's current form?
Hull City have recorded 5W 0D 0L in their last 5 matches (3.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–0 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 83%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Premier League