Match Analysis

Ipswich Town vs Liverpool

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

60%
10%
30%
Ipswich Town winDrawLiverpool win

Key Stats

2.20Points per game0.80
2.00Avg goals scored1.86
1.00Avg goals conceded2.05
3–2–0Record (W–D–L)0–4–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Ipswich Town xG

Expected goals

1.3

Liverpool xG

70%

Both Teams to Score

84%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

31

8%

21

7%

30

6%

41

6%

20

5%

22

5%

Home

Ipswich Town

Ipswich Town

WWWDD

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Away

Liverpool

Liverpool

DDDLD

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.9 / 2.1

Last 5

0W 4D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings

Ipswich Townall timeLiverpool
2W
25 Jan 25
Liverpool41Ipswich Town
17 Aug 24
Ipswich Town02Liverpool

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Ipswich Town vs Liverpool?

Ipswich Town is favored with a 60% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Ipswich Town's current form?

Ipswich Town have recorded 3W 2D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Ipswich Town won 0, drew 0, and Liverpool won 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 70%. Over 2.5 goals: 84%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Your Prediction

Pick a winner

Leaderboard →

Match Odds

Ipswich Town Win60%
Draw10%
Liverpool Win30%
BTTS70%
Over 2.584%

Find prediction markets →

Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi