Leeds United vs Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.3
Leeds United xG
Expected goals
0.4
Manchester United xG
24%
Both Teams to Score
24%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
24%
0–0
18%
2–0
15%
1–1
9%
0–1
7%
3–0
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $277K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Leeds United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.6
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Manchester United?
Leeds United is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Leeds United's current form?
Leeds United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Leeds United won 1, drew 1, and Manchester United won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (24% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 24%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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