Leeds Unitedvs
Manchester United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.5
Leeds United xG
Expected goals
1
Manchester United xG
49%
Both Teams to Score
46%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
12%
1–1
12%
2–0
9%
2–1
9%
0–0
8%
0–1
8%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $79K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Leeds United
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Away
Manchester United
PPG
0.60
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.6
Last 5
0W 3D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Leeds United vs Manchester United?
Leeds United is favored with a 49% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Leeds United's current form?
Leeds United have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 49%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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