Match Analysis

LiverpoolvsArsenal

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

34%
27%
39%
Liverpool winDrawArsenal win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game2.20
1.36Avg goals scored1.58
0.97Avg goals conceded0.59
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Liverpool xG

Expected goals

1.3

Arsenal xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

0–1

11%

1–0

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Liverpool

Liverpool

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

1.4 / 1.0

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Arsenal

Arsenal

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

1.6 / 0.6

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Arsenal?

Arsenal is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Liverpool's current form?

Liverpool have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Liverpool Win34%
Draw27%
Arsenal Win39%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%