Liverpool vs Brighton Hove Albion
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Liverpool xG
Expected goals
3.8
Brighton & Hove Albion xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
87%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–3
7%
1–3
7%
1–4
7%
0–4
6%
1–2
6%
0–2
5%
Home
Liverpool
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.9 / 2.1
Last 5
0W 4D 1L
Away
Brighton & Hove Albion
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.7 / 0.8
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Liverpool vs Brighton Hove Albion?
Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 85% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Liverpool's current form?
Liverpool have recorded 0W 4D 1L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–3 (7% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 87%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Your Prediction
Pick a winner
Match Odds
Find prediction markets →
Compare model vs Polymarket / Kalshi
More from Premier League