Manchester Cityvs
Leeds United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
1.2
Leeds United xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
11%
2–1
10%
1–0
9%
2–0
8%
0–1
7%
1–2
7%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.5 / 1.3
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Leeds United
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.0 / 0.8
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Leeds United?
Manchester City is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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