Manchester City vs Sunderland
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.1
Manchester City xG
Expected goals
0.9
Sunderland xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
76%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–0
9%
3–0
9%
2–1
8%
3–1
8%
4–0
7%
1–0
6%
Home
Manchester City
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.8 / 1.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Sunderland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester City vs Sunderland?
Manchester City is favored with a 75% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester City's current form?
Manchester City have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.1.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Manchester City won 1, drew 1, and Sunderland won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 76%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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