Manchester United vs Ipswich Town
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.8
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
2.1
Ipswich Town xG
48%
Both Teams to Score
55%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–1
12%
0–2
12%
1–2
10%
1–1
9%
0–3
8%
1–3
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $27K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Manchester United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Ipswich Town
PPG
2.20
Avg goals
2.0 / 1.0
Last 5
3W 2D 0L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Ipswich Town?
Ipswich Town is favored with a 55% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.8.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Manchester United won 1, drew 1, and Ipswich Town won 0.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 48%. Over 2.5 goals: 55%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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