Match Analysis

Manchester UnitedvsTottenham Hotspur

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

32%
25%
43%
Manchester United winDrawTottenham Hotspur win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game1.40
1.04Avg goals scored1.35
1.65Avg goals conceded1.05
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Manchester United xG

Expected goals

1.5

Tottenham Hotspur xG

57%

Both Teams to Score

53%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

9%

1–2

9%

1–0

8%

2–1

8%

0–2

7%

Home

Manchester United

Manchester United

DLDLD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.0 / 1.6

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Tottenham Hotspur

Tottenham Hotspur

WWDLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?

Tottenham Hotspur is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Manchester United's current form?

Manchester United have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Manchester United Win32%
Draw25%
Tottenham Hotspur Win43%
BTTS57%
Over 2.553%