Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.7
Manchester United xG
Expected goals
0.6
Tottenham Hotspur xG
37%
Both Teams to Score
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–0
17%
2–0
14%
0–0
10%
1–1
10%
2–1
9%
3–0
8%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $2.0M volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Manchester United
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
1.0 / 1.5
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Away
Tottenham Hotspur
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Manchester United vs Tottenham Hotspur?
Manchester United is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Manchester United's current form?
Manchester United have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Manchester United won 1, drew 2, and Tottenham Hotspur won 3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (17% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 37%. Over 2.5 goals: 40%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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