Match Analysis

Newcastle United vs Afc Bournemouth

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

39%
29%
32%
Newcastle United winDrawAFC Bournemouth win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game1.60
1.85Avg goals scored1.18
1.70Avg goals conceded1.39
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Newcastle United xG

Expected goals

1.4

AFC Bournemouth xG

65%

Both Teams to Score

66%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

11

9%

21

9%

10

7%

12

7%

20

7%

22

7%

Home

Newcastle United

Newcastle United

WDLWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.8 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

AFC Bournemouth

AFC Bournemouth

LDDWW

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.4

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings

Newcastle Unitedall timeAfc Bournemouth
3D
3W
18 Apr 26
Newcastle United12AFC Bournemouth
21 Sep 25
AFC Bournemouth00Newcastle United
18 Jan 25
Newcastle United14AFC Bournemouth
25 Aug 24
AFC Bournemouth11Newcastle United
17 Feb 24
Newcastle United22AFC Bournemouth
11 Nov 23
AFC Bournemouth20Newcastle United

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Newcastle United vs Afc Bournemouth?

Newcastle United is favored with a 39% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Newcastle United's current form?

Newcastle United have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the H2H record?

In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Newcastle United won 0, drew 3, and Afc Bournemouth won 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

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Match Odds

Newcastle United Win39%
Draw29%
AFC Bournemouth Win32%
BTTS65%
Over 2.566%

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