Match Analysis

Nottingham ForestvsManchester City

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

25%
23%
52%
Nottingham Forest winDrawManchester City win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.00
0.72Avg goals scored2.45
1.32Avg goals conceded1.26
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Nottingham Forest xG

Expected goals

1.8

Manchester City xG

58%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

0–2

8%

1–0

6%

1–3

6%

Home

Nottingham Forest

Nottingham Forest

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Manchester City

Manchester City

DWWLW

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.3

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City?

Manchester City is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Nottingham Forest's current form?

Nottingham Forest have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 58%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Nottingham Forest Win25%
Draw23%
Manchester City Win52%
BTTS58%
Over 2.558%