Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.3
Sunderland xG
Expected goals
2.5
Arsenal xG
24%
Both Teams to Score
53%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
19%
0–3
16%
0–1
15%
0–4
10%
0–0
6%
1–2
6%
Home
Sunderland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Arsenal
PPG
2.40
Avg goals
2.4 / 0.1
Last 5
4W 0D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Arsenal?
Arsenal is favored with a 78% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Sunderland's current form?
Sunderland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.3.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Sunderland won 0, drew 1, and Arsenal won 1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (19% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 24%. Over 2.5 goals: 53%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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