Match Analysis

SunderlandvsBrighton & Hove Albion

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

16%
20%
64%
Sunderland winDrawBrighton & Hove Albion win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.20
0.58Avg goals scored2.69
1.68Avg goals conceded0.82
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–2–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

2.2

Brighton & Hove Albion xG

56%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

9%

1–1

9%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Brighton & Hove Albion

Brighton & Hove Albion

DDWWW

PPG

2.20

Avg goals

2.7 / 0.8

Last 5

3W 2D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Brighton & Hove Albion?

Brighton & Hove Albion is favored with a 64% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 56%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win16%
Draw20%
Brighton & Hove Albion Win64%
BTTS56%
Over 2.562%