Match Analysis

SunderlandvsChelsea

ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

27%
23%
50%
Sunderland winDrawChelsea win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game1.60
0.58Avg goals scored2.00
1.68Avg goals conceded1.67
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)2–2–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Sunderland xG

Expected goals

1.8

Chelsea xG

61%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

1–2

9%

0–1

8%

0–2

7%

2–1

7%

1–0

6%

Home

Sunderland

Sunderland

DDLWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

0.6 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Chelsea

Chelsea

DWWLD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.0 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Chelsea?

Chelsea is favored with a 50% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Sunderland's current form?

Sunderland have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 8 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Sunderland Win27%
Draw23%
Chelsea Win50%
BTTS61%
Over 2.560%