Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2.2
Sunderland xG
Expected goals
1.5
Fulham xG
69%
Both Teams to Score
71%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
2–1
9%
1–1
8%
2–2
7%
3–1
7%
1–2
6%
2–0
6%
Home
Sunderland
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.3 / 1.5
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Away
Fulham
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
1.5 / 2.2
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Head-to-Head · Last 2 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Sunderland vs Fulham?
This is an evenly matched fixture. Both teams have similar win probabilities based on current form.
What is Sunderland's current form?
Sunderland have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.2.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 2 Premier League meetings, Sunderland won 0, drew 0, and Fulham won 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 71%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · limited H2H (2 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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