Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United
ENG Premier League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model0.7
Tottenham Hotspur xG
Expected goals
2.7
Newcastle United xG
47%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
12%
0–3
11%
0–1
9%
1–2
9%
1–3
8%
0–4
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $175K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Tottenham Hotspur
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
0.5 / 2.1
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Newcastle United
PPG
1.60
Avg goals
1.8 / 1.7
Last 5
2W 2D 1L
Head-to-Head · Last 6 meetings
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United?
Newcastle United is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Tottenham Hotspur's current form?
Tottenham Hotspur have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 0.7.
What is the H2H record?
In the last 6 Premier League meetings, Tottenham Hotspur won 1, drew 1, and Newcastle United won 4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · last 5 matches · H2H 6 meetings · home advantage included
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
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