Match Analysis

AbhavsAl Ittihad

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

17%
21%
62%
Abha winDrawAl Ittihad win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.40
0.49Avg goals scored2.23
1.69Avg goals conceded1.04
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)2–1–2

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Abha xG

Expected goals

2

Al Ittihad xG

55%

Both Teams to Score

58%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

10%

0–2

10%

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–3

7%

1–3

7%

Home

Abha

Abha

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Ittihad?

Al Ittihad is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Abha's current form?

Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 55%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Abha Win17%
Draw21%
Al Ittihad Win62%
BTTS55%
Over 2.558%