Match Analysis

AbhavsAl Shabab

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

23%
24%
53%
Abha winDrawAl Shabab win

Key Stats

0.40Points per game1.20
0.49Avg goals scored1.71
1.69Avg goals conceded1.27
0–2–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1

Abha xG

Expected goals

1.7

Al Shabab xG

52%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

0–1

11%

1–1

11%

0–2

10%

1–2

10%

0–0

7%

1–0

7%

Home

Abha

Abha

DLLDL

PPG

0.40

Avg goals

0.5 / 1.7

Last 5

0W 2D 3L

Away

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Abha vs Al Shabab?

Al Shabab is favored with a 53% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Abha's current form?

Abha have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 0–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 52%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Abha Win23%
Draw24%
Al Shabab Win53%
BTTS52%
Over 2.551%