Match Analysis

Al AhlivsAl Ettifaq

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

61%
18%
21%
Al Ahli winDrawAl Ettifaq win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game1.20
2.98Avg goals scored1.53
1.29Avg goals conceded1.39
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.5

Al Ahli xG

Expected goals

1.4

Al Ettifaq xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

9%

1–1

7%

3–1

7%

2–0

6%

2–2

6%

1–0

5%

Home

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Al Ettifaq

Al Ettifaq

DLWDD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.5 / 1.4

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ahli vs Al Ettifaq?

Al Ahli is favored with a 61% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ahli's current form?

Al Ahli have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ahli Win61%
Draw18%
Al Ettifaq Win21%
BTTS69%
Over 2.575%