Match Analysis

Al DiriyahvsAl Shabab

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

31%
26%
43%
Al Diriyah winDrawAl Shabab win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
0.73Avg goals scored1.71
1.12Avg goals conceded1.27
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Al Diriyah xG

Expected goals

1.4

Al Shabab xG

53%

Both Teams to Score

48%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

12%

0–1

10%

1–0

9%

1–2

9%

0–0

7%

0–2

7%

Home

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Diriyah vs Al Shabab?

Al Shabab is favored with a 43% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Diriyah's current form?

Al Diriyah have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (12% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 53%. Over 2.5 goals: 48%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Diriyah Win31%
Draw26%
Al Shabab Win43%
BTTS53%
Over 2.548%