Match Analysis

Al FaisalyvsAl Nassr

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

21%
21%
58%
Al Faisaly winDrawAl Nassr win

Key Stats

1.00Points per game2.00
1.26Avg goals scored2.23
1.73Avg goals conceded0.72
1–2–2Record (W–D–L)3–1–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.2

Al Faisaly xG

Expected goals

2

Al Nassr xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

10%

0–1

8%

0–2

8%

1–3

7%

2–1

6%

Home

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly

DLDWL

PPG

1.00

Avg goals

1.3 / 1.7

Last 5

1W 2D 2L

Away

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Faisaly vs Al Nassr?

Al Nassr is favored with a 58% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Faisaly's current form?

Al Faisaly have recorded 1W 2D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Faisaly Win21%
Draw21%
Al Nassr Win58%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%