Match Analysis

Al FaisalyvsAl Riyadh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
24%
35%
Al Faisaly winDrawAl Riyadh win

Key Stats

1.20Points per game1.20
1.30Avg goals scored1.07
2.05Avg goals conceded1.56
1–3–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.6

Al Faisaly xG

Expected goals

1.5

Al Riyadh xG

62%

Both Teams to Score

60%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

11%

2–1

9%

1–2

8%

0–1

7%

1–0

7%

2–0

6%

Home

Al Faisaly

Al Faisaly

DDWLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.3 / 2.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Away

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Faisaly vs Al Riyadh?

Al Faisaly is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Faisaly's current form?

Al Faisaly have recorded 1W 3D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.20 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.6.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (11% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 62%. Over 2.5 goals: 60%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Faisaly Win41%
Draw24%
Al Riyadh Win35%
BTTS62%
Over 2.560%