Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.4
Al Fateh xG
Expected goals
3
Al Ahli xG
72%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–2
8%
1–3
8%
0–2
6%
0–3
6%
1–4
6%
1–1
5%
Home
Al Fateh
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Al Ahli
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?
Al Ahli is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Fateh's current form?
Al Fateh have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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