Match Analysis

Al FatehvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

15%
15%
70%
Al Fateh winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game2.60
1.13Avg goals scored2.98
2.37Avg goals conceded1.29
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Al Fateh xG

Expected goals

3

Al Ahli xG

72%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

8%

1–3

8%

0–2

6%

0–3

6%

1–4

6%

1–1

5%

Home

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli is favored with a 70% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fateh's current form?

Al Fateh have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 72%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fateh Win15%
Draw15%
Al Ahli Win70%
BTTS72%
Over 2.581%