Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Al Fateh xG
Expected goals
2.5
Al Nassr xG
61%
Both Teams to Score
70%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
0–2
9%
1–2
9%
1–1
8%
1–3
8%
0–1
7%
0–3
7%
Home
Al Fateh
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Away
Al Nassr
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Nassr?
Al Nassr is favored with a 67% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Fateh's current form?
Al Fateh have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 0–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 61%. Over 2.5 goals: 70%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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