Match Analysis

Al FatehvsAl Riyadh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

35%
23%
42%
Al Fateh winDrawAl Riyadh win

Key Stats

0.80Points per game1.20
1.13Avg goals scored1.07
2.37Avg goals conceded1.56
1–1–3Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.5

Al Fateh xG

Expected goals

1.7

Al Riyadh xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

1–2

9%

2–1

8%

0–1

7%

2–2

7%

0–2

6%

Home

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Away

Al Riyadh

Al Riyadh

DLDWD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.1 / 1.6

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fateh vs Al Riyadh?

Al Riyadh is favored with a 42% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fateh's current form?

Al Fateh have recorded 1W 1D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.5.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fateh Win35%
Draw23%
Al Riyadh Win42%
BTTS63%
Over 2.562%