Match Analysis

Al FayhavsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

20%
18%
62%
Al Fayha winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

0.60Points per game2.60
1.16Avg goals scored2.98
1.80Avg goals conceded1.29
0–3–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.4

Al Fayha xG

Expected goals

2.5

Al Ahli xG

69%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–2

9%

1–1

7%

1–3

7%

0–2

6%

2–2

6%

0–1

5%

Home

Al Fayha

Al Fayha

DLLDD

PPG

0.60

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.8

Last 5

0W 3D 2L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Fayha vs Al Ahli?

Al Ahli is favored with a 62% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Fayha's current form?

Al Fayha have recorded 0W 3D 2L in their last 5 matches (0.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.4.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–2 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 69%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Fayha Win20%
Draw18%
Al Ahli Win62%
BTTS69%
Over 2.575%