Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model1.1
Al Hazem xG
Expected goals
1.9
Al Nassr xG
57%
Both Teams to Score
58%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
10%
1–2
10%
0–1
9%
0–2
9%
0–3
6%
1–3
6%
Home
Al Hazem
PPG
0.40
Avg goals
1.1 / 1.5
Last 5
0W 2D 3L
Away
Al Nassr
PPG
2.00
Avg goals
2.2 / 0.7
Last 5
3W 1D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Hazem vs Al Nassr?
Al Nassr is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Hazem's current form?
Al Hazem have recorded 0W 2D 3L in their last 5 matches (0.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.1.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 57%. Over 2.5 goals: 58%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League