Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model3.3
Al Hilal xG
Expected goals
1.1
Al Fateh xG
64%
Both Teams to Score
81%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
3–1
8%
2–0
7%
2–1
7%
3–0
7%
4–1
7%
4–0
6%
Home
Al Hilal
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
2.8 / 1.0
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Away
Al Fateh
PPG
0.80
Avg goals
1.1 / 2.4
Last 5
1W 1D 3L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?
Al Hilal is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Hilal's current form?
Al Hilal have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
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