Match Analysis

Al HilalvsAl Fateh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

79%
12%
9%
Al Hilal winDrawAl Fateh win

Key Stats

2.60Points per game0.80
2.81Avg goals scored1.13
0.99Avg goals conceded2.37
4–1–0Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3.3

Al Hilal xG

Expected goals

1.1

Al Fateh xG

64%

Both Teams to Score

81%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

2–1

7%

3–0

7%

4–1

7%

4–0

6%

Home

Al Hilal

Al Hilal

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

2.8 / 1.0

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Away

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Hilal vs Al Fateh?

Al Hilal is favored with a 79% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Hilal's current form?

Al Hilal have recorded 4W 1D 0L in their last 5 matches (2.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 3–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 64%. Over 2.5 goals: 81%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Hilal Win79%
Draw12%
Al Fateh Win9%
BTTS64%
Over 2.581%