Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Al Ittihad xG
Expected goals
1.9
Al Ahli xG
74%
Both Teams to Score
75%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
8%
2–1
8%
1–2
7%
2–2
7%
1–3
5%
2–3
5%
Home
Al Ittihad
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Al Ahli
PPG
2.60
Avg goals
3.0 / 1.3
Last 5
4W 1D 0L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli?
Al Ittihad is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Ittihad's current form?
Al Ittihad have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League