Match Analysis

Al IttihadvsAl Ahli

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

41%
21%
38%
Al Ittihad winDrawAl Ahli win

Key Stats

1.40Points per game2.60
2.23Avg goals scored2.98
1.04Avg goals conceded1.29
2–1–2Record (W–D–L)4–1–0

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Al Ittihad xG

Expected goals

1.9

Al Ahli xG

74%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

8%

2–1

8%

1–2

7%

2–2

7%

1–3

5%

2–3

5%

Home

Al Ittihad

Al Ittihad

DWWLL

PPG

1.40

Avg goals

2.2 / 1.0

Last 5

2W 1D 2L

Away

Al Ahli

Al Ahli

DWWWW

PPG

2.60

Avg goals

3.0 / 1.3

Last 5

4W 1D 0L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Ittihad vs Al Ahli?

Al Ittihad is favored with a 41% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Ittihad's current form?

Al Ittihad have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 74%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Ittihad Win41%
Draw21%
Al Ahli Win38%
BTTS74%
Over 2.575%