Al Ittihadvs
Al Shabab
KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H
Win Probability
Key Stats
Score Forecast
Poisson model2
Al Ittihad xG
Expected goals
1.4
Al Shabab xG
65%
Both Teams to Score
66%
Over 2.5 Goals
Most likely scores
1–1
9%
2–1
9%
1–0
7%
1–2
7%
2–0
7%
2–2
7%
Model vs Market
Polymarket · $37K volume
Edge = our model minus market price. Not financial advice.
Home
Al Ittihad
PPG
1.40
Avg goals
2.2 / 1.0
Last 5
2W 1D 2L
Away
Al Shabab
PPG
1.20
Avg goals
1.7 / 1.3
Last 5
1W 3D 1L
Head-to-Head
No H2H data found for this league
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is favored to win Al Ittihad vs Al Shabab?
Al Ittihad is favored with a 52% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.
What is Al Ittihad's current form?
Al Ittihad have recorded 2W 1D 2L in their last 5 matches (1.40 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 65%. Over 2.5 goals: 66%.
Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)
Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.
Match Odds
More from Saudi Pro League