Match Analysis

Al KhaleejvsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

40%
27%
33%
Al Khaleej winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

1.80Points per game1.20
1.18Avg goals scored0.73
1.68Avg goals conceded1.12
2–3–0Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.3

Al Khaleej xG

Expected goals

1.2

Al Diriyah xG

51%

Both Teams to Score

46%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

13%

1–0

11%

0–1

10%

0–0

8%

1–2

8%

2–1

8%

Home

Al Khaleej

Al Khaleej

DWWDD

PPG

1.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 1.7

Last 5

2W 3D 0L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Khaleej vs Al Diriyah?

Al Khaleej is favored with a 40% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Khaleej's current form?

Al Khaleej have recorded 2W 3D 0L in their last 5 matches (1.80 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 51%. Over 2.5 goals: 46%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Khaleej Win40%
Draw27%
Al Diriyah Win33%
BTTS51%
Over 2.546%