Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Diriyah

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

63%
22%
15%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Diriyah win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.20
2.23Avg goals scored0.73
0.72Avg goals conceded1.12
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

1.9

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

0.8

Al Diriyah xG

47%

Both Teams to Score

51%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–0

13%

2–0

12%

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

3–0

8%

0–0

7%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Al Diriyah

Al Diriyah

DWDLD

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

0.7 / 1.1

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Diriyah?

Al Nassr is favored with a 63% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 1.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–0 (13% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 47%. Over 2.5 goals: 51%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win63%
Draw22%
Al Diriyah Win15%
BTTS47%
Over 2.551%