Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Kholood

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

76%
14%
10%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Kholood win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game0.80
2.23Avg goals scored1.18
0.72Avg goals conceded2.48
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2.9

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

1

Al Kholood xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

75%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–0

9%

2–1

9%

3–0

8%

3–1

8%

1–0

6%

1–1

6%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Al Kholood

Al Kholood

DLLLW

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.2 / 2.5

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Kholood?

Al Nassr is favored with a 76% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.9.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–0 (9% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 75%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win76%
Draw14%
Al Kholood Win10%
BTTS60%
Over 2.575%