Match Analysis

Al NassrvsAl Shabab

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

56%
22%
22%
Al Nassr winDrawAl Shabab win

Key Stats

2.00Points per game1.20
2.23Avg goals scored1.71
0.72Avg goals conceded1.27
3–1–1Record (W–D–L)1–3–1

Score Forecast

Poisson model

2

Al Nassr xG

Expected goals

1.2

Al Shabab xG

60%

Both Teams to Score

62%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

1–1

10%

2–1

10%

1–0

8%

2–0

8%

3–1

7%

1–2

6%

Home

Al Nassr

Al Nassr

DWWWL

PPG

2.00

Avg goals

2.2 / 0.7

Last 5

3W 1D 1L

Away

Al Shabab

Al Shabab

DDWDL

PPG

1.20

Avg goals

1.7 / 1.3

Last 5

1W 3D 1L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Nassr vs Al Shabab?

Al Nassr is favored with a 56% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Nassr's current form?

Al Nassr have recorded 3W 1D 1L in their last 5 matches (2.00 points per game). Expected goals per game: 2.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 1–1 (10% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 60%. Over 2.5 goals: 62%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 10 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Nassr Win56%
Draw22%
Al Shabab Win22%
BTTS60%
Over 2.562%