Match Analysis

Al QadsiahvsAl Fateh

KSA Saudi Pro League · Win Probability, xG & H2H

Win Probability

74%
14%
12%
Al Qadsiah winDrawAl Fateh win

Key Stats

1.60Points per game0.80
2.37Avg goals scored1.13
1.14Avg goals conceded2.37
2–2–1Record (W–D–L)1–1–3

Score Forecast

Poisson model

3

Al Qadsiah xG

Expected goals

1.1

Al Fateh xG

63%

Both Teams to Score

78%

Over 2.5 Goals

Most likely scores

2–1

8%

3–1

8%

2–0

7%

3–0

7%

4–0

6%

4–1

6%

Home

Al Qadsiah

Al Qadsiah

DLWWD

PPG

1.60

Avg goals

2.4 / 1.1

Last 5

2W 2D 1L

Away

Al Fateh

Al Fateh

DLWLL

PPG

0.80

Avg goals

1.1 / 2.4

Last 5

1W 1D 3L

Head-to-Head

No H2H data found for this league

Frequently Asked Questions

Who is favored to win Al Qadsiah vs Al Fateh?

Al Qadsiah is favored with a 74% win probability based on recent form (PPG) and H2H record.

What is Al Qadsiah's current form?

Al Qadsiah have recorded 2W 2D 1L in their last 5 matches (1.60 points per game). Expected goals per game: 3.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely scoreline is 2–1 (8% probability) according to PaceScore's Poisson model. Both teams to score probability: 63%. Over 2.5 goals: 78%.

Poisson model · attack & defense ratings · 11 recent goal samples · form last 5 · limited H2H (0 meetings)

Statistical model for research purposes only. Not betting advice. PaceScore does not facilitate trading or take positions.

Match Odds

Al Qadsiah Win74%
Draw14%
Al Fateh Win12%
BTTS63%
Over 2.578%